Disclaimer

Prefix: The Legal Stuff: All opinions expressed in this blog are mine and may have been previously disseminated by me either accidental or knowingly. My opinions are just that my opinion, and should not be relied upon as such. Past performance of a stock or fund is not indicative of future results. No guarantee to any specific outcome or profit is meant or implied. My investments or strategies mentions in this blog may not be suitable for you and you should make your own independent decision regarding them. My material does not take into account your particular investment objective or objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You should consider seeking advice from your own investment adviser before making any purchase or investment. I am expressing opinions; I am NOT inducing you to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only expressing an opinion. I am doing this mainly for my children and friends, you are reading this with my permission. I change my mind and opinion and will do so without notice, you need to be aware you have real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment. You may get back less than you invest, negative return or loss. I want you to use what I have learned and make independent decisions regarding investments or strategies I mention before acting. You always need to consider whether it is suitable for you and your particular circumstances.

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Update Prior Posts


Update on Stock Pick 2 and Stock Pick 7

In review you now have 7 stocks and 1 ETF.  Consolidated Edison Inc. (ED) or another utility, Kraft Foods Inc. (KRFT) or another food stock, Eaton Corp (ETN) or another industrial stock, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Inc. (POT) fertilizer, and U.S. Bancorp (USB) or some other financial (Bank) stock of choice, an oil or gas stock my recommendation was Chevron Corp (CVX).  Copper ore Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) but any metal mining sector stock would do.  Last picked was a tech stock Microsoft Corp. (MSFT).  Remember you can own any stock in the sector not the one I recommend.  I like the SPDR Gold Shares Trust GLD ETF. 

Pick 2

Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT) has split into two companies.  If you had purchased this you when I posted it you would have made some fast money and kept your dividend.  With what the Federal Resurve Bank has announced dividend stocks are the only way you will make any return on your savings.  As those who have T-Bills or CD’s should be painfully aware of .  Kraft (new symbol KRFT) and Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ).  I don’t know which one is the better of the two, but I kept them both. Jim Cramer likes MDLZ.

 Pick 7

Technology stocks update.  The whisper on the markets is the desktop and possibly the laptop IBM combabitable computer market is dying.  This is a huge problem for Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and Intel Corp. (INTC) both of which are married to the desktop devices.  Handheld devices smart phones devices made by Apple Inc. (AAPL) are cannibalizing the desktop market.  I am not going to give up my desktop for a handheld.  My phone bill is currently $100 a month; with 3 smartphones it would go up to $400 a month.  Will Apple take over the world?  Again I am not sure.  Apple makes gadgets.  The history of gadget companies is they go out of favor, examples are Motorola and Palm (the dying and dead).  How long will Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) and AT&T Inc. (T) subsidize sales of the IPhone?

Google Inc. (GOOG) stock is a substitute if you trust the management.  With 2 classes of stock I don’t trust them far.  International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) is even more interesting.  I know I recommended Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and I think it is safe for now.  Oracle Corp. (ORCL) would be an interesting substitute for Microsoft except for the dividend and I do plan to give more consideration on replacing Microsoft with IBM in a future post.

With all the above stay away from Dell Inc. (DELL) and Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) both give every appearance of going the way of Motorola and Palm.  The first is well managed but will not sell itself or merge with Hewlett-Packard Co. and the latter is poorly managed and the entire board of directors should pay the company to sit on the board and not the other way around. 

I like boring Industrials and Consumer Staple stocks, tech companies are run like fiefdoms by less than ethical über-rich with huge egos.  So you are investing in one man’s brain and one product, plus the management and marketing abilities of one company.  Jerry Yang lost billions for the shareholders in Yahoo because he hated Bill Gates and Microsoft, and Bill and Microsoft are nothing but a vicious monopolist and a malicious monopoly.  As a contrast in an Industrial you are investing in electronic engineers and electric motors or the production of steel.  In Consumer Staples you are investing in chemists and Oreo cookies or Camel cigarettes.  I find cookies and cigarettes easier to understand than source code and computer chips.

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