Disclaimer

Prefix: The Legal Stuff: All opinions expressed in this blog are mine and may have been previously disseminated by me either accidental or knowingly. My opinions are just that my opinion, and should not be relied upon as such. Past performance of a stock or fund is not indicative of future results. No guarantee to any specific outcome or profit is meant or implied. My investments or strategies mentions in this blog may not be suitable for you and you should make your own independent decision regarding them. My material does not take into account your particular investment objective or objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You should consider seeking advice from your own investment adviser before making any purchase or investment. I am expressing opinions; I am NOT inducing you to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only expressing an opinion. I am doing this mainly for my children and friends, you are reading this with my permission. I change my mind and opinion and will do so without notice, you need to be aware you have real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment. You may get back less than you invest, negative return or loss. I want you to use what I have learned and make independent decisions regarding investments or strategies I mention before acting. You always need to consider whether it is suitable for you and your particular circumstances.

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Update Prior Posts


Update on Stock Pick 2 and Stock Pick 7

In review you now have 7 stocks and 1 ETF.  Consolidated Edison Inc. (ED) or another utility, Kraft Foods Inc. (KRFT) or another food stock, Eaton Corp (ETN) or another industrial stock, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Inc. (POT) fertilizer, and U.S. Bancorp (USB) or some other financial (Bank) stock of choice, an oil or gas stock my recommendation was Chevron Corp (CVX).  Copper ore Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) but any metal mining sector stock would do.  Last picked was a tech stock Microsoft Corp. (MSFT).  Remember you can own any stock in the sector not the one I recommend.  I like the SPDR Gold Shares Trust GLD ETF. 

Pick 2

Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT) has split into two companies.  If you had purchased this you when I posted it you would have made some fast money and kept your dividend.  With what the Federal Resurve Bank has announced dividend stocks are the only way you will make any return on your savings.  As those who have T-Bills or CD’s should be painfully aware of .  Kraft (new symbol KRFT) and Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ).  I don’t know which one is the better of the two, but I kept them both. Jim Cramer likes MDLZ.

 Pick 7

Technology stocks update.  The whisper on the markets is the desktop and possibly the laptop IBM combabitable computer market is dying.  This is a huge problem for Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and Intel Corp. (INTC) both of which are married to the desktop devices.  Handheld devices smart phones devices made by Apple Inc. (AAPL) are cannibalizing the desktop market.  I am not going to give up my desktop for a handheld.  My phone bill is currently $100 a month; with 3 smartphones it would go up to $400 a month.  Will Apple take over the world?  Again I am not sure.  Apple makes gadgets.  The history of gadget companies is they go out of favor, examples are Motorola and Palm (the dying and dead).  How long will Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) and AT&T Inc. (T) subsidize sales of the IPhone?

Google Inc. (GOOG) stock is a substitute if you trust the management.  With 2 classes of stock I don’t trust them far.  International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) is even more interesting.  I know I recommended Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and I think it is safe for now.  Oracle Corp. (ORCL) would be an interesting substitute for Microsoft except for the dividend and I do plan to give more consideration on replacing Microsoft with IBM in a future post.

With all the above stay away from Dell Inc. (DELL) and Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) both give every appearance of going the way of Motorola and Palm.  The first is well managed but will not sell itself or merge with Hewlett-Packard Co. and the latter is poorly managed and the entire board of directors should pay the company to sit on the board and not the other way around. 

I like boring Industrials and Consumer Staple stocks, tech companies are run like fiefdoms by less than ethical über-rich with huge egos.  So you are investing in one man’s brain and one product, plus the management and marketing abilities of one company.  Jerry Yang lost billions for the shareholders in Yahoo because he hated Bill Gates and Microsoft, and Bill and Microsoft are nothing but a vicious monopolist and a malicious monopoly.  As a contrast in an Industrial you are investing in electronic engineers and electric motors or the production of steel.  In Consumer Staples you are investing in chemists and Oreo cookies or Camel cigarettes.  I find cookies and cigarettes easier to understand than source code and computer chips.

Monday, October 1, 2012

The Art of the BIG Lie

The Big Lie
 
The best thing you can do is vote with your social income class.  For 90% of America that is vote for anyone but the GOP.  The GOP has gotten the big lie to an art form.  Propaganda in its purest form.  http://news.yahoo.com/romney-interview-says-tax-rate-fair-033140287.html  Mitt thinks his tax rate is fair, but it should be lower.  http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/obama-does-romney-want-start-another-war-middle-014855301--election.html  Mitt would like to start another war?  The Iraq War didn’t make things better, now Iran is moving its influence into Iraq now.  http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000116529&play=1

Global Warming isn’t not real.  http://news.yahoo.com/ice-free-arctic-summers-bring-100100621.html  “Drill Baby Drill” the battle cry.  Millions for the über-rich and oil companies, billions in losses for the masses with weather damages with weather and sea level changes.  Thousands dead. 

Rich people create jobs.  http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/big-lie-rich-people-create-jobs-210637141.html What actually creates jobs, is the economic ecosystem, a strong healthy middle class and customer demand.  The economy is struggling because the middle-class has been gutted by the GOP. Hanauer in the article says we need to  

first, cut taxes for the middle-class and raise taxes on high-income earners.  Plus pay middle-class workers more.  Neither option did you hear in the Mitt Romney fundraiser video, he believes we need to cut American workers wages and cut taxes on the über-rich (himself and his group of friends).

Cut social programs we can’t afford them.  http://247wallst.com/2012/05/22/the-happiest-countries-in-the-world-2/  The happiest people have safety nets. 

Deregulation is important to the consumer and economy.  http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/why-phone-cable-internet-bills-cost-much-130914030.html  No deregulation and privatizing is only good for the über-rich.  It isn’t good for the consumer.  The example is our phone system duopoly in the article. 

Competition will lower prices for the consumer.  In American today with have duopolies like the phone companies you have to choose from.  Monopolies like Microsoft.  And, oligopolies like our health insurance industry.  A is a market form in which a market or industry is dominated by a small number of sellers, each oligopolist is likely to be aware of the actions of the others. Oligopolists tend to get together (especially if unregulated by a central government GOP) and price fix.  Romney and the GOP are experts at this http://business.time.com/2012/09/13/bain-capital-private-equity-firms-accused-of-price-fixing-in-lawsuit/  Bain dabbled in some price fixing under Romney. 

47% of Americans don’t pay income taxes.  Who are they?  Let’s see they are in the military.  They are elderly, soldiers and college students.  People who have children who make under 30k a year.  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EyyG9g_F4Kg  The GOP has started a hate campaign directed at old people, military personal and children, who all actually pay taxes in SSN, Medicare, Property, and Sales Taxes.  The GOP is misrepresenting who pays taxes and who doesn’t, and who these people they want us to hate are.  The GOP is also misrepresenting the nature of the problem with social security and taxes.  The nature of the problem is with revenue is that people don’t have a job, we don’t have enough people working, not that the poor are not paying enough taxes.  We can solve the social security problem for our young people if we just taxes social security the same for everyone removing the caps on SSN and Medicare taxes.  CEO’s are paid more than their companies pay in Federal Income Taxes, Apple the most profitable company in America pays 3% in California State Income Tax.  The GOP has given us The Big Lie.  I don’t think old people, college students, children and military personal are the problem!