Disclaimer

Prefix: The Legal Stuff: All opinions expressed in this blog are mine and may have been previously disseminated by me either accidental or knowingly. My opinions are just that my opinion, and should not be relied upon as such. Past performance of a stock or fund is not indicative of future results. No guarantee to any specific outcome or profit is meant or implied. My investments or strategies mentions in this blog may not be suitable for you and you should make your own independent decision regarding them. My material does not take into account your particular investment objective or objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You should consider seeking advice from your own investment adviser before making any purchase or investment. I am expressing opinions; I am NOT inducing you to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only expressing an opinion. I am doing this mainly for my children and friends, you are reading this with my permission. I change my mind and opinion and will do so without notice, you need to be aware you have real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment. You may get back less than you invest, negative return or loss. I want you to use what I have learned and make independent decisions regarding investments or strategies I mention before acting. You always need to consider whether it is suitable for you and your particular circumstances.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

The Intelligent Investor

The Intelligent Investor

In review you now have 5 stocks.  Consolidated Edison Inc. (ED) or another utility, Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT) or another food stock, Eaton Corp (ETN) or another industrial stock, and U.S. Bancorp (USB) or some other financial (Bank) stock of choice.  Last pick was an oil or gas my recommendation was Chevron Corp (CVX) but any oil sector stock would do.  Remember you can own any stock in the sector not the one I recommend.

In Benjamin Graham’s book he teaches value investing.  First of all I read a book written by the author during his lifetime.  (May 8, 1894 – September 21, 1976) I am not sure who is updating his work but I wanted his pholosphy not current theroies.  pg 40 “the rate of return … be dependent, on the amount of (time) intelligent effort the investor is willing and able to bring to bear on his task. … the alert, enteprising investor who exercises maximun intelligence and skill.”  Warren Buffett, who is considered most successful investor of the 20th century is a value investor and uses the principles taught in this book, and what I talked about in my last post. 
“it is absurd to think that the general public can ever make money out of market forcasts.  … There is no basis either in logic or in experience for assuming hat any typical or average investor can anticipate the market movements … successfully”  In this blog I am suggesting that you disreguard the Mutual Funds and junk ETF’s.  Invest for yourself in good high quality companies.  Watch the market for the general direction.  Use market tools, and follow the stocks you invest in.  Use value investing and follow the free advice on CNBC from Cramer and Fast Money.  (sorry closed the book before I got the page number)
“Basically, price fluctuations have only one significant meaning for the investory.  They provide him with an opportunity to buy wisely when prices fall sharply and to sell wisely when they advance a great deal.  … he will do better if he forgets about the stock market and pays attention to his dividend returns and to the operating results of his company.”  pg 109  I used this durring the 208 market melt down and the flash crash.  No one would have lost money during the flash crash with Procter & Gamble (PG) using a stop loss becaue you would never use a stop loss on your stocks following this investing approach. 
During the 2008 crash on or about 3/09/09 I sold all my stocks and purchased better stocks at a fraction of their value.  The stock were unloved and out of reach in some cases before the crash in March of 2009.  Home Depot (HD) was out of favor and the stock pickers were recommending Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW).  Altria Group Inc. (MO) was unloved due also to a lawsuit.  U.S. Bancorp (USB) being a bank was hated.  All examples of broken stocks not broken companies I picked two were recommended as stocks not to purchase.  Pfizer Inc. (PFE) was the most broken company I picked.  Unloved at the time now it is recommended at least once a week by someone on CNBC.  Pfizer Inc. (PFE) is the most risky of the three in my view and still is.  My point is I watch it closer and am more ready to sell it, even thought it is now loved.  The main point is you can buy stocks the Hedge Funds and Mutual Funds can’t and make a lot of money when the stocks become loved, also stocks flip flop being loved one year and hated the next. 

Go to a used bookstore and buy the book.  Start your own list of value stocks to pick up.  Spoiler this book is written like a college textbook.  You will learn what Warren Buffett has used to become rich.  You can do this too.  In conclusion 50% of the gains to investors on the stock market are from reinvested dividends.  Use value investing to increase your wealth.

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